As the dust settles after a fiercely contested election season, all eyes are on Punjab. The state, known for its rich history, vibrant culture, and agricultural prowess, has once again played a pivotal role in shaping India’s political landscape. The 2024 Lok Sabha elections witnessed intense campaigning, heated debates, and enthusiastic voter turnout. Now, as the polling booths close, punjab exit poll provide us with a glimpse into the possible outcomes.
Punjab, often referred to as the “Land of Five Rivers,” has a diverse electorate. From the bustling cities of Amritsar and Ludhiana to the serene villages nestled in the foothills of the Shivalik range, voters have expressed their opinions on critical issues such as unemployment, agriculture, and regional development. The state has 13 Lok Sabha constituencies, each with its unique socio-political dynamics and voting pattern.
Key Issues
- Unemployment: Youth unemployment remains a pressing concern. The promise of job creation has resonated with many voters, especially in urban areas.
- Agriculture: Punjab’s agrarian economy faces challenges related to water scarcity, crop diversification, and farmer distress. Candidates have debated policies to support farmers and ensure sustainable agricultural practices.
- Drug Menace: The state has grappled with drug addiction, particularly among the youth. Voters are keen to elect representatives who can address this crisis effectively.
- Infrastructure: Voters demand better roads, healthcare facilities, and education infrastructure. The winning party will need to prioritize these issues.
Punjab Exit Poll Predictions
Let’s see Punjab Exit poll 2024 results presented by various agencies once the seventh phase of the elections ended on June 1:
- India Today-My Axis India Punjab Exit Poll :
- The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to win two to four seats in Punjab.
- The ruling Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is projected to win zero to two seats.
- The BJP’s vote share is predicted to increase by 16 percentage points, with an expected 26% of the votes.
- News18 Punjab Exit Poll :
- The Congress is likely to secure 7-9 seats in Punjab.
- This performance is similar to their results in the 2019 elections.
- ABP-CVoter Punjab Exit Poll :
- The opposition alliance, known as the I.N.D.I.A Bloc, is likely to sweep the state of Punjab. They are projected to win 6 to 8 seats out of the 13 Lok Sabha constituencies.
- The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), on the other hand, is expected to face a setback in the northern state. They are predicted to secure 1 to 3 seats.
- Other parties like the Akali Dal are expected to get 3 to 5 seats.
- The opposition alliance is likely to receive 32.7% of the votes, while the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is projected to get 21.3% of the votes.
- The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is expected to secure 24.4% of the votes, and the Akali Dal may receive 21.5% of the votes.
- News 24-Today’s Chanakya Punjab Exit Poll :
- The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Congress are projected to win four seats each in Punjab.
- The ruling Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is expected to secure two seats.
- Other parties, collectively referred to as “others,” are predicted to win three seats.
- Matrize Punjab Exit Poll 2024:
- The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is likely to secure 3-6 seats in Punjab.
- The Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) is poised to win 1-4 seats.
- The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to get 0-2 seats.
- The Congress may secure 0-3 seats.
6. CNX Punjab Exit Poll 2024:
- The Congress is expected to lead in Punjab, securing 5-6 seats.
- The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is projected to win 2 seats.
- The ruling Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is likely to secure 4 seats.
- Other parties, collectively referred to as “others,” are predicted to win 3 seats.
7. D-Dynamics Punjab Exit Poll 2024:
- The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is projected to secure 2-4 seats in Punjab.
- The ruling Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is expected to win zero to two seats.
- The Congress is likely to lead with 7-9 seats.
- The Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) may secure 2-3 seats.
Punjab Lok Sabha election result 2019
Let’s take a look at the 2019 Lok Sabha election results in Punjab. In that election, a total of 13 parliamentary seats were contested. Here’s how the parties performed:
- Indian National Congress (INC):
- The Congress emerged as the clear winner in Punjab, securing 8 out of 13 seats.
- This impressive victory surprised both the SAD-BJP combine and the AAP.
- The Congress significantly improved its tally from the 2014 polls, where it had won only 3 seats.
- Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP):
- The SAD-BJP alliance managed to win a total of 2 seats.
- The BJP secured 2 seats, while the SAD won 0 seats.
- Their combined vote share was 27.76%.
- Aam Aadmi Party (AAP):
- The AAP made a stunning debut in Punjab by winning 4 seats.
- They emerged as the third alternative in the state’s political landscape.
- Their vote share was 7.38% in the Punjab Lok Sabha election result 2019 .
- Other Parties:
- The Lok Insaaf Party (LIP) from the Punjab Democratic Alliance (PDA) contested but did not win any seats.
- The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and other smaller parties also participated but did not secure any seats.
Here are the constituency-wise results for some notable seats:
- Gurdaspur:
- Winner: Sunny Deol (BJP)
- Runner-up: Sunil Jakhar (INC)
- Margin: 82,459 votes
- Amritsar:
- Winner: Gurjeet Singh Aujla (INC)
- Runner-up: Hardeep Singh Puri (BJP)
- Margin: 99,626 votes
- Khadoor Sahib:
- Winner: Jasbir Singh Gill (INC)
- Runner-up: Jagir Kaur (SAD)
- Margin: 1,40,573 votes
- Jalandhar (SC):
- Winner: Santokh Singh Chaudhary (INC)
- Runner-up: Charanjit Singh Atwal (SAD)
- Margin: 19,491 votes
- Hoshiarpur (SC):
- Winner: Som Parkash (BJP)
- Runner-up: Rajkumar Chabbewal (INC)
- Margin: 48,530 votes
- Anandpur Sahib:
- Winner: Manish Tiwari (INC)
- Runner-up: Prem Singh Chandumajra (SAD)
- Margin: 46,884 votes
- Ludhiana:
- Winner: Ravneet Singh Bittu (INC)
- Runner-up: Simarjit Singh Bains (Lok Insaaf Party)
- Margin: 76,732 votes
These results reflect the dynamic political landscape in Punjab during the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.
Punjab Lok Sabha 2024 opinion poll
Let’s take a look at the opinion polls for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections in Punjab. Various polls had provided insights into the projected outcomes before the elections. Here are the key findings:
- India TV-CNX Opinion Poll:
- The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), led by Chief Minister Bhagwant Mann, is likely to win six seats in Punjab.
- The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to improve its performance and may secure three seats.
- The Congress is projected to win three seats, while the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) may get just one seat.
- India Today Mood of the Nation Poll:
- Both the AAP and the Congress are projected to win five seats each out of the total 13 Lok Sabha seats in Punjab.
- The BJP is expected to secure two seats.
The Verdict
As we await the official results after the Punjab Exit Poll, the state remains at the heart of political discussions. The winning party will have the responsibility of addressing the state’s challenges and fulfilling the aspirations of its people. Whether it’s the incumbent party retaining power or a new dawn for the opposition, Punjab’s verdict will resonate far beyond its borders. The final results will be announced on June 4, 2024. Until then, let’s celebrate the spirit of democracy and hope for a brighter future for Punjab and its citizens.
