The anticipation is palpable as India awaits for the Lok Sabha election result 2024, which will be declared on Tuesday, June 4. The counting of votes for the Lok Sabha and assembly elections will commence at 8 am and continue until the last vote is tallied. Here’s a comprehensive overview of what to expect on this crucial day.
The Political Landscape: NDA vs INDIA alliance
The Lok Sabha Elections 2024 witnessed intense campaigning, fervent debates, and high voter turnout. As the mammoth electoral process concluded on June 1, pollsters and political strategists churned out numbers, released post-poll surveys, and analyzed the nation’s mood just ahead of the results. The exit polls predict a better performance by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and a defeat for the opposition’s INDIA bloc in this year’s national polls.
NDA’s Bold Prediction
Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the BJP have exuded confidence that the party-led alliance, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), will secure a historic win by grabbing over 400 Lok Sabha seats in the 2024 polls. The NDA’s chief strategist, Union Home Minister Amit Shah, boldly predicted that they would cross the 400-seat mark before 12:30 pm on June 4. However, many opposition leaders view this as a “threat” to the country’s Constitution, emphasizing the need for a strong opposition.
INDIA Bloc’s Stand
The INDIA bloc, a coalition of over 25 opposition parties, remains optimistic. The Congress party believes that the 2024 elections will be a repeat of the 2004 polls when they stormed to power, shocking several poll pundits. Their prediction? The INDIA bloc will win the Lok Sabha Elections 2024 with over 295 seats.
Market Volatility
Besides political action and drama, significant market volatility is expected due to election result 2024. Exit polls on June 1 led to a surge in the stock market benchmarks—the Sensex and Nifty 50—jumping almost 4 percent each to fresh record highs. Investors are closely monitoring the outcome, and any surprise result could lead to market corrections.
Exit polls released ahead of the election result predicted a decisive victory for the Narendra Modi-led BJP government. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition was projected to secure an overwhelming majority, further boosting investor confidence. These exit poll results acted as a catalyst for the market rally.
State Assembly Elections
In addition to the Lok Sabha results, the assembly election result 2024 in Odisha and Andhra Pradesh will also be announced on June 4. The voting for these two state assemblies was held alongside the Lok Sabha polls. The current Andhra Pradesh Assembly’s term ends on June 11, and Odisha’s term ends on June 24. Voters in these states chose their next chief minister, adding further significance to the day’s outcome.
The elections in Odisha were held in four phases between May 13 and June 1. Voters turned out in significant numbers, exercising their democratic right to choose their representatives. Re-polling took place at two booths under the Kantamala Assembly segment in Boudh district on May 23, adding to the drama of the electoral process.
Exit Polls: BJP vs. BJD
Exit polls have been buzzing with predictions about the election result 2024, and the battle seems neck-and-neck. Here’s what the numbers suggest:
- BJP: According to the India Today-Axis My India exit poll, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is poised to make significant gains in Odisha. The party is predicted to secure 62 to 80 seats out of the 147-seat assembly. This surge indicates a substantial increase in their tally compared to previous elections.
- BJD: The Biju Janata Dal (BJD), led by Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik, is also projected to win 62 to 80 seats. However, this indicates a decrease in their seat count, challenging their 24-year status as the ruling party in the state.
Following Election Commission guidelines, robust security arrangements have been made across the state. The Electronic Voting Machines (EVMs) are safely stored in strong rooms at 69 locations (78 buildings) under CCTV surveillance. Central Armed Police Forces (CAPF) personnel guard these rooms, ensuring the integrity of the electoral process.
The counting will take place at 168 centers—one for each assembly segment and the 21 parliamentary constituencies. A three-tier security system is in place, with CAPF personnel, Special Armed Force of Odisha Police, and district police ensuring peaceful and flawless counting.
The elections in Andhra Pradesh were held in a single phase on May 13. Voters turned out in significant numbers, exercising their democratic right to choose their representatives. The state witnessed intense campaigning, with both major parties vying for dominance.
Exit polls have projected a close race between the ruling Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party (YSRCP) and the Telugu Desam Party (TDP)-Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-JanaSena alliance. Here’s what the numbers suggest:
- YSRCP: The YSRCP, led by Chief Minister Jagan Mohan Reddy, is likely to retain power. Exit polls predict a range of 94 to 116 seats out of the 175-member Andhra Pradesh assembly. The party’s welfare schemes, rural development initiatives, and Reddy’s personal popularity seem to have resonated with voters.
- TDP-JanaSena Alliance: The opposition alliance, comprising the TDP, BJP, and JanaSena, is expected to win 59 to 77 assembly seats. Former Chief Minister N. Chandrababu Naidu’s TDP remains a formidable force, while JanaSena’s performance will be closely watched.
The counting will take place at 175 centers—one for each assembly segment.
Where to Track the election result 2024?
For those keenly following the election result 2024, the official Election Commission of India (ECI) website will provide live counting trends and results. Here’s how you can access the information:
- Visit the Official Website: Go to the official website of the Election Commission of India.
- Click on General Election Results: On the website, click on the “General Election Results” option.
- Select Your State and Constituency: Once you’re on the results page, select your state from the dropdown menu. Then choose your specific constituency to view the detailed results.
Election Commission Issued Guidelines for Vote Counting on June 4
The Election Commission of India (ECI) has released comprehensive guidelines for poll officials ahead of the vote counting scheduled for June 4. These guidelines cover the counting of votes from Electronic Voting Machines (EVMs), Voter Verified Paper Audit Trails (VVPATs), and postal ballots for the Lok Sabha elections, bye-elections, and State Legislative Assemblies.
Here are the key instructions related to election result 2024 for poll officials:
- Counting Arrangements and Compliance:
- District Election Officers, Returning Officers (RO), and Observers must fully comply with existing guidelines for counting arrangements in and around Counting Centers before the scheduled start of vote counting.
- Counting for a constituency will not begin if there are any pending ECI orders regarding an adjourned poll at any polling station(s). However, if a re-poll at any polling station(s) is taking place on the counting day, the process for the constituency can commence.
- The penultimate round of counting should only begin after the re-polled EVMs and VVPATs from such polling stations are securely escorted to the counting hall.
- Secrecy of the Vote:
- The RO should read aloud the provisions of Section 128 of the Representation of the People Act, 1951, and Rule 54 of the Conduct of Election Rules, 1961, to maintain the secrecy of the vote.
- Counting shall be continuous without any interval.
- Authorized Personnel Only:
- No unauthorized person should be present in the counting hall.
- The RO has the authority to direct anybody to leave the Counting Center if they fail to obey the lawful directions.
- Counting of Postal Ballots:
- The counting process for postal ballots must begin at the Returning Officer’s (RO) table.
- Only postal ballot papers received by the RO before the scheduled start time for counting will be considered.
- The RO shall furnish the latest account of the total number of postal ballot papers to the Observer at the commencement of counting.
- The requirements of a valid declaration will be explained and demonstrated to all counting supervisors, assistants, and micro-observers before the scrutiny of the declaration by the counting supervisor.
The Election Commission emphasizes the importance of adhering to these guidelines to ensure a smooth and transparent counting process. As the nation awaits the results, poll officials play a crucial role in upholding the integrity of our democratic process.
As the clock ticks down to June 4, the nation holds its breath, waiting to witness election result 2024.
As the counting process concludes, we’ll know the composition of the 545-member Lok Sabha (the lower house of India’s Parliament). Each constituency’s winner will be announced, and the overall seat distribution will shape the political landscape for the next five years.
The exit polls conducted during the election period have provided some insights, but their accuracy remains a topic of debate. Exit polls are based on surveys conducted with voters after they cast their ballots, and they attempt to predict the election outcome. However, they are not always spot-on, as they rely on statistical sampling and can be influenced by various factors.
Whether the NDA secures its “400 paar” or the INDIA bloc surprises everyone in the election result 2024, one thing is certain: India’s democratic spirit will prevail, and the people’s voice will echo through the hallowed halls of Parliament.
