For most humans on our planet, space is a symbol of scientific curiosity. Yet, a new tension has entered the sphere of space exploration recently, which might change the way how we view the space around Earth. The United States has accused Russia of developing a dangerous technology: An Anti-satellite Nuke, specifically to put in outer space.
- Global Positioning Systems (GPS): Used by billions of people daily for navigation, from smartphones to commercial shipping. Countries like US, China, India etc. have their own navigation systems today.
- Telecommunications: Opening the door to over 60% of global internet traffic and connecting remote areas.
- Earth Observation: Monitoring weather patterns, environmental changes, and natural disasters, with a global market size, which might reach $5.54 billion by 2029.
Any nuclear blast in space can trigger a chain reaction known as Kessler Syndrome and it could cost the world trillions of dollars. The millions of pieces of debris from the destroyed satellite might collide with other objects in orbit, and a huge part of space around us will be unusable for decades or even centuries.
The US-Russia Space Rivalry
The history of the US-Russia space rivalry dates back to the early days of the Space Age. After the launch of Sputnik 1 by the Soviet Union in 1957, the two superpowers had a heated competition to beat each other in space exploration. This rivalry, fueled by Cold War tensions, resulted in many technological advancements, including the moon landing by the US in 1969.
What is the Outer Space Treaty between nations?
What is the Outer Space Treaty between nations?
ASAT tests by India and China
The US and Russia aren’t the only players in the space game anymore. India and China too, have thrown their anti-satellite missiles into the ring, raising concerns about a potential space arms race. China displayed its ASAT capabilities by conducting a test way back, in 2007 with a kinetic kill vehicle.
Renewed Space-arms Race: What’s bad in that?
- The development and deployment of Anti-satellite Nuke could lead to an unsafe space environment. Countries will create dedicated space forces, deploy defensive satellite shields, and weaponize other space technologies like lasers.
- The fragile trust and cooperation that currently exists between spacefaring nations will be over. Maintaining the International Space Station (ISS) and joint scientific missions will become difficult, leading to less progress in space exploration and research.
- The space economy is a booming sector, projected to reach a staggering $1.4 trillion by 2030 according to Morgan Stanley. A space arms race could create uncertainty and instability in this market, discouraging private investment and reducing innovation.
- Any Anti-satellite Nuke will be a threat to not just economic prosperity but also human safety and well-being. The whole weather forecasting is satellite-based, without them, we cannot predict the disasters and save lives in time.
Is There a Way Out of This Space Mess?
The good news is, that there’s still time to avoid a full-blown space arms race. The bad news? It takes international cooperation, which can be tricky. Countries are working on treaties and agreements to prevent an arms race, but it’s an ongoing process. For now, let’s see what happens to the US resolution in the United Nations Security Council. The presence of nukes on Earth is already a continuous threat, an Anti-satellite Nuke in space would make things worse for humanity.